Executive Summary
The
New Obama administration has pledged to create a new National Space
Council as a mechanism to debate, set and coordinate US Space
Policy. As the world's largest national economy the US has a
variety of space policy goals that must be clearly stated and a variety
of government agencies that support the implementation of these
goals. The US government also is the leading international space
faring power in both military and civilian operations. The US must use
it leadership in space to advancement
not only its own
interests but to serve common global interests by creating an
“Earth/Moon econosphere” that permits economic hope and growth for the
world economy by gaining access to clean space energy supplies and that
also protect the Earth's environment by creating alternatives to the
acceleration of destruction of the Earth's environmental systems
through use of space based resources and space associated technologies
The
US must improve the alignment of it space policy policy objectives with
its administrative and political system. All of the “eggs”, even
the civil policy eggs, should not be in NASA's basket. Congressional
space policy development and oversight should more broadly follow
the Federal Department structure so that space energy
development, Earth observations, space transportation, commercial
space development are debated across a wider range of committee than at
present. Both Congressional funding and oversight of
US space policy should break out from a NASA and DOD only
perspective. This broader perspective is one appropriate to the factor
that we are now in a third generation of space faring activities
where space operations reflect an increasingly complex evolution of
interests and responsibilities
We suggest a realignment of
responsibilities among US Departments with NOAA being the principal and
lead agencies on US Earth observation and that additional resources be
given to NOAA to advance it system of systems collaboration with
international partners. We also suggest that the Department of Energy
assume responsibilities for a space related energy work including Space
based solar power, nuclear systems, and new propulsion technologies. We
suggest that the Department of Agriculture be given responsibilities
for space systems development for Closed Environment Life Support
Systems and Closed Environmental Agricultural Systems. The Department
of Transportation should have overall responsibility for developing a
low cost high frequency transportation infrastructure to LEO and beyond
and to do so via a model of commercial development. These goals
again should be coordinated with International allies and the
community of space faring nations. NASA's focus should be
narrowed to the pursuit of Scientific and Human Exploration goals, and
technology development in both space related technology and a renewed
vigor in aviation
A reappraisal of NASA's Constellation Program
is needed to make the goal of human return to the Moon one which is
coordinated with other nations so that there is a synergy of efforts to
open the resources of space to the needs and requirements of the Earth.
Section I: US Space Policy Goals
What the Obama Administration Can Do in Space Policy.The Role of a New National Space CouncilDuring
the Presidential campaign the Barack Obama indicated that under his
administration he would recreate a National Space Council, an
instrument that has been used previously by Democratic
Presidents. The NSC should assist the President in setting
national goals involving space and the activities of the US government.
It should also set a public policy climate that encourages the growth
of private enterprises in space.
Space Policy GoalsWhat goals should be identified and policies pursued by the new National Space Council?
An
Obama administration must propose US space policies that share
the risks and benefits, the work and the costs of Creating an
Earth/Moon Econosphere and that increases the access and peaceful uses
of Space for everyone.
Some US Space Policy goals:1. Should advance US interests internationallya.
The new US administration should make space
cooperation a top agenda item for the G-20 nations by the President and
also work bilaterally with nations signing the Global Exploration
Agreement, the International lunar network agreement, Important goals
are to agree to build a common lunar base and lunar exploration
initiative. The ISS partnership should be expanded to include the
emerging space faring powers of China and India. A Geo platform
demo project should also be adapted by this expanded group of
nations.
b. A diplomatic initiative to
“guarantee access” to LEO must be balanced with US national security
interests and protocols on space debris, weaponization of space,
missiles and nuclear proliferation.
c. The
potential for “disposal” of toxics such as plutonium and other
nuclear materials used in RTG's should be considered as acceptable and
peaceful international options serving recognized deep space science
missions.
Disposal and potential reprocessing of “high jeopardy”
toxic wastes in space should also be the subject of working groups when
both the high cost of disposal on Earth and the
uncertainties of long term disposal make safe space disposal an new
option to consider.
2. Should enhance US national security The
investment and maintainability of US Space assets such as US AF Space
Command, US Naval Space Command, NRO, GSIA, NRO, etc. is critical to US
national security. These strategic assets are necessary to maintaining
a stable international order and protecting the interests of the US and
it's allies and encouraging other competitors nations that a peaceful
soft path of space cooperation is of mutual advantage.
3. Should advance scientific knowledgea.
A NASA Science Mission Directorate budget of
at least $ 5 Billion should continue to advance the understanding of
our sun and the solar system.
b. NASA &
NSF astronomy programs should continue to advance the
understanding of our Sun and solar system, our home galaxy, and the
scope of the larger universe. and to engage the minds and energies of
the next generation.
4. Should develop technology(Lowered
space transportation costs should increase the impact of existing
funding levels for space science and exploration. More missions and
more participation in such missions will result from a high flight rate
low cost transportation system.) Funds for COTS providers access
to LEO must be expanded. The COTS funded Falcon 9 system must be
successfully man rated by 2010-2011. Other options in pursuit of a more
cost efficient and redundant high flight rate capability must be
reconsidered such as man rating EELVs, an unmanned Direct 2
architecture or other reusable HLLV alternatives which have been
proposed by private sector sources.
Development of in
space refueling systems must be developed and the utilization of
tanks “retired in orbit” for this infrastructure must begin as a means
of capitalizing a high flight rate transportation system which will in
the long term be supplied from lunar fuel sources.
The
Federal SBIR commercialization and technology development initiatives
should be targeted on technology development road maps that create an
Earth/Moon econosphere by using space resources and locations.
VASIMR
propulsion technology research should be further developed as an
enabler of pioneering the tools to move effectively beyond the
Earth, out into the solar system beginning with the Moon, then Mars,
and more distant targets such as Ceres, and the main asteroid
belt.
5 Should protect the Earth's environment US
(NOAA and DOD) Earth Observation Assets must make the
understanding, monitoring, and protection of the Earth from space
one of the highest national priorities. US funds should be effectively
leveraged with international partners sharing responsibilities
both both collection and analysis of space data in the international
system of systems initiatives.
6. Should expand the national and global economyUS
Space policy should work with other nations to create an Earth/ Moon
econosphere. The investment in space policy initiatives will greatly
expand the nodes of the space economy including:
1 High flight rate space transportation (expands existing commercial transportation)
2 GEO communications platform (expands existing commercial capacity)
3 Space construction (new commercial & government construction)
4 Space fueling infrastructure ( new commercial industry) and operations
5 Space manufacturing ( new industry commercial)
6
Space research and development lab facilities (expands existing ISS
national lab new commercial development )
7
Space tourism and national governmental human space flight initiatives
( new industry + new government partners)
8
Space science missions ( expands existing exploration activities
via various Working Groups OSEWG, ILEWG, MWG, Other WGs,
etc.
9 Lunar base construction
(expands and internationalizes VSE/HSE) government and
commercialization partnerships to develop a “lunar condominium by
2030.” a comprehensive exploration of the lunar surface,
and an “inflationary lunar base.”
10 Space
energy solar energy systems development & demonstration (new
commercial industry R & D) Solar Power Sat Tech Demonstration
Project ( DOE-lead fusion technology developments ITER & Helium 3,
and nuclear isotopes industry expansion fission power
systems nuclear isotopes thermal electric power systems
nuclear disposal & reprocessing
7 Should learn to utilize space resourcesISS
National Lab program and expansion via commercialization new
initiatives and Federal $ in partnership with private sector
1 Low gravity experimentation (ISS National Lab)
2 O-G manufacturing ( National Lab)
3 Vacuum manufacturing ( National Lab)
4 Nano manufacturing of electronics and other lithography construction systems. (National Lab)
5 Pharmaceuticals and biotechnological production systems.( NIH Labs )
6
Space Solar Power technology demonstrations and technology developments
can be coordinated with the GEO Platform communication
initiatives. (DOE lab)
7 Fusion power technology
development via the ITER program and nuclear isotopes and Helium
-3 fuels need to be maintained by DOE and supported by lunar mission
measuring in situ conditions and demonstrating in situ processing of
materials.(DOE funding)
8 In situ processing of
lunar and asteroidal materials ( A National Lab dedicated to this
purpose should be created on the lunar surface)
9
Advanced nuclear thermal power technologies should be utilized in long
duration science missions. (DOE labs)
10.
Space based reprocessing and storage of toxic materials on the lunar
surface must be studied as an alternative to Earth based disposal
systems. (The growth of this industry could well result in another
independent requirement for a high flight rate to LEO and cislunar
space.
11. Global demand for mass produced electronics and pharmaceuticals might result in a high flight rate to LEO.
12.
Demand for high flight rates in space for other new initiatives will
work in synergy with space tourism and result in much lower ticket
prices and therefore a genuine mass market for human
tourism. Thousands of people per year experiencing space
will help to transform the human and cultural perception of
Earth.
8. Should further develop global communications development via GEO platforms in conjunction with commercial partnerships
These
platforms will provide capacity for communications growth, space power
technology demonstrations, improved Earth observations, space weather,
and cislunar GPS capabilities.
A very capable GEO platform could
be built using telerobotic systems. A GEO platform
could be built with extensive and redundant sets of solar arrays, “plug
and play” transponders for redundancy and easy replacement, and
the ability to service in place components with telerobotic systems. An
advanced GEO platforms demonstration is a replicable project of global
commercial significance. A global infrastructure of such facilities
could create a web-enabled world that would lift the fortunes of poorer
countries and enhance the development of human resources. A first
project might be analogous to the international commitment to develop
the ISS as a multi-national multi-year endeavor. Yet because of
the finite number of GEO slots this would initiate an industry that
would develop a constellation of such facilities to accommodate the
needs of the billions of people not yet part of the developed global
economy as well as improve services for the economic echelon of the
“first billion.” of the developed nations. These platforms
will insure that broadband capacity for the entire global population is
in place as a critical enabling infrastructure for commercial
communications, government communications, educational, health
programs, earth observation, and solar energy research and
demonstrations. A program of this magnitude also provides a
justification for a truly cost efficient high flight rate heavy
lift reusable launch systems.
9. Should further develop educational opportunitiesNations
should routinely utilize GEO platforms capabilities to provide global
access to educational services. Everyone should have the capacity to
access and attend virtual education from K through college. The
educational infrastructure should have to capacity to provide
continuity of services, records of achievement, and
individualized educational planning on a global basis to every
child even as they move around in a transient fashion with families
that are part of a mobile world economy.
10. Should further development of a global medical services infrastructure. Plans
to utilize GEO platform capabilities to provide global access to health
information and medical services should be developed.
Everyone
should have an individual health record, genomic record which can be
accessed from anywhere in the global to assure both optimum care,
efficient delivery, and effective use of health resources and
treatment. Global standards for a health information
infrastructure should be developed so that all countries can gain from
the benefits and efficiencies such standardization can provide. Every
individual should benefit from the ability to access their health
records anywhere on the globe and in a way that will facilitate cost
efficient use of these records by health professionals everywhere.
Section II: US Space Policy Oranization Options
Balanced PrioritiesEvery
administration must pursue a set of balanced policies suited to the
times, financial resources, and organizational structure of the
government. US Space policy involves relationships with foreign
governments, as well as the “family” of space agencies within the US
government, and partnerships involving the resources of the
private sector. The financial problems facing the US and the
global economy also present the requirement to better manage national
and international resources. These are opportunities for the US
to demonstrate both national and international leadership. The Obama
administration and the US Congress must determine achievable goals with
a timetable of 4 to 8 years. At the same time such accomplishments
should also move the US and allied countries forward on longer term
agreed objectives such as lunar and Mars exploration, GEO platform
infrastructures, and space based solar energy.
A.1 An Expanded NASA Partnership at HomeNASA's
support base has been perceived as skewed because of the
employment impact of its Centers and contractors on a few states:
Alabama: Marshall SFC
California: Ames RS , JPL, Dryden
Florida: Kennedy Space Center
Maryland: Goddard SFC
Mississippi: Stennis
Ohio: Glenn
Texas: Johnson SFC, Palestine (balloon launch facility)
Virginia: Langley, Wallops
NASA
must place a national emphasis on engagement, recruitment, training and
employment of a new generation of American space scientists and
engineers. The NASA Space Grant network of 550 Universities
spread across the 50 states and territories should be a more vigorous
focus for scholarships, research, and engineering
development. A more competitive research process should
make NASA's centers compete with an expanded network of NASA space
grant science and engineering institutions. Procurement and
contracting regulations must support a more competitive climate
on both cost and schedule and not prevent new providers and new
approaches from fair consideration.
New business development
should also be stimulated through more SBIR programs in all 50
states. Students should be encouraged to develop the high tech sector
across the country and produce a commercial “spin up” enterprises
as part of their career training and planning. and supported by
initiatives in the Department of Commerce, Small Business
Administration, and the contracting process of other Federal agencies.
More
of the nano sat/cube sat types of initiatives should be supported
financially so that small science and engineering missions with
hand-ons participation can be commonly provided through space
grant institutions. The NASAs' SMD should increase it tempo of
activities and funding for many small science missions throughout this
space grant network as part of a detailed solar system
exploration road map.
Student engagement should not be a “rare
opportunity”. The experience of building and flying small mission
packages must be a common pathway in career development for
science and engineering. Models such as the competitive
model created by the AFRL. the European Student Moon Orbiter funded by
ESA, or the proposed American Student Moon Orbiter proposed by AMES but
with better funding, or the Magnolia lunar orbiter proposed by Stennis,
Mississippi State, and Surrey Satellite Technology should be advanced
so that a young work force with advanced skills can be brought
into the space sectors as the prior generation retires. The SMD
budget should reflect a science road map that sends a continuing stream
of such small exploration missions across the solar system and that
engages a national network in this “third generation” of exploration
efforts as a common place and almost “industrial level” of cost
effective mission technologies.
These efforts will provide a
better national distribution of education, research, and business
development resources and assist recruitment of a new generation to
pursue the country's space goals.
Note for example the
elimination of NASA Advanced Concepts Institute is moving in the wrong
direction. NASA should be interested in exploring new approaches and
ideas and facilitating their development applications in a distributed
fashion based on models such as the astrobiology program and lunar
science institutes based at AMES.
A.2 An Expanded Partnership AbroadThe
SMD should also look to share the costs of proposed missions with
international partners across the full spectrum of proposed
missions. Its record of breath taking missions and discoveries should
be increased with the participation of many other nations in a global
space exploration initiative.
B. Better Alignment of Space Policy Goals and Federal Departments & ProgramsNASA
has had the problem of having to pursue many goals with inadequate
funding. NASA has therefore been accused of “Eating its children” as it
focused financial resources on the Constellation Program. NASA critics
have especially focused on reductions in Earth observation activities
and of exploration activities in the Science Mission Directorate. The
shift of Earth Observation responsibilities to NOAA is one way of not
confusing and competing priorities within a single agency. Another
issue of strategic significance is that, except for the DOD, NASA has
been the monopoly provider of space transportation within the Federal
government. NASA should not be in the transportation business as a
monopoly provider. A vigorous new commercial transportation system is
needed for space initiatives.
To criticize only NASA's
administrator and management however is to mis-allocate the blame which
should be reserved for Congress as the branch of government which
disposes of the proposed budget prepared by the Executive branch and
which has oversight responsibilities for the execution of Federal
programs. This realignment is also a strategy to distribute the
strategic consideration of space goals and among additional
Congressional committees that more broadly distribute the space policy
considerations in the national constituencies of the legislative
branch. The Government Accounting Office and Congressional Budget
Office must ask tough questions and evaluate both program options and
policy choices.
Some Questions for Space Policy Considerations- How
can Space Grant Institutions roles be expanded as a means of more
widely distributing NASA's/Space Programs political and economic
impacts?
- How effective are Federal SBIR commercialization
initiatives in advancing the technology road maps that will create the
Earth Moon econosphere?
- What balance between Federal operations and contracts should be budgeted?
- What national distribution across 50 states should be sought?
- What level of political support is needed to achieve US space goals ?
- What impact on University systems, Undergraduate, and graduate recruitment are space educational resources having?
- What impact on public awareness is being made?
- What impacts on K-16 education are NASA's education budget having?
- How
can educational expenditures increase US competitiveness in STEM? both
from US Department of Education and other Federal Departments relying
on such skills such as DOD, DOE, Department Transportation, NASA,
NOAA, etc.
B.1 One policy change should include the alignment of space policy goals among the Federal Departments. One
example is moving NASA's Earth observation programs to NOAA. NOAA
should have unified responsibility for observing and protecting the
Earth's environment including collaboration with other nations in a
“system of systems” program.
B.2 NASA shut down its office on space solar power Yet
this initiative offers the solution to both the threat to the Earth's
environment from depending on fossil fuels and also of creating the
largest growth engine of the global economy. The Department of Energy
should be given overall responsibility for space energy initiatives in
a division devoted to these goals. A DOE space energy division should
develop space based energy supplies including those aspects which
involve space solar power, space fission reactors, RTG's for deep space
missions, and the development of fusion power technologies
applicable to (such as the ITER program). and the potential of Helium 3
fuels, and space propulsion technologies. Glenn Research Center's
activities involving space propulsion systems might be transferred to a
new space energy division of the DOE. These research goals should
also be undertaken with in the context of international
partnerships.
The proposed demonstration prototype space solar
power program suggested by the National Space Security Office of
the Department of Defense should be the responsibility of the
DOE. Military applications of this technology should be done in
close conjunction with the DOD. Similarly, applications of this
proposed technology must be developed as for civilian purposes. The
example with provision of power to remote off grid locations refugee
populations might be done with US agencies providing international
assistance such as Agency for International Development, and the
Department of State working with the UN High Commissioner on
Refugees. The War on poverty and human desperation in the face of
natural disasters and political turmoil must be just as vigorous as
deserves as high acommitment as the demand for conventional
military capabilities. This commitment is alsoa strong moral
message to the international community and a way of organizing
international efforts to deal with the enormous problems of recurrent
natural disaster and failed states.
A Sun Sat
Corporation has been proposed that would model the Com Sat corporation
in its historical development of communications satellites. This
collaboration between the US government, other national governments,
and private commercial partners is a strong precedent on for pioneering
a global space “infrastructures.” Even though transportation costs at
present place a purely commercial business case for space solar power
satellites out of reach, the Research & Development efforts of a
Sun Sat Corporation should move forward as an organized, energetic, and
determined international initiative. The transforming great
promise and global demand for clean energy supplies make a clean
space based energy progrm a national and international initiative of
the highest priority.
B.3.
The Department of Transportation should have the responsibility
for development of commercial space transportation services. Its
jurisdiction should includes the new state spaceports as
well as Federal launch facilities to create a
vigorous competitive space transportation industry which is well
positioned to provide contracted services to both the US
government and its various “space agencies” as well as private
commercial space activities.
It should take charge of a
variety of space transportation initiatives including the COTS programs
serving the ISS, the “responsive space launch initiatives needed by
military space agencies for small satellites, the development of
high flight rate low cost reusable heavy lift systems.
The
Department of Transportation must be responsible for the
development of space transportation infrastructure including refueling
capabilities and “space port” facilities and setting up
agreements with international partners in LEO. It must also set the
stage to move outward beyond LEO to GEO, L1, LLO, and the lunar
surface, and Mars.
This will enable a variety of future
initiatives that will make the Earth/Moon econosphere a reality and
further multiply the $139 Billion commercial space economy.
B.4
NASA has also cut back and significantly reduced its efforts in
research and personnel development for Closed Environment Life
Support Systems (CELSS) and Controlled Environment Agricultural systems.
The
Department of Agriculture should be the lead agency in this area and
the “spin-off” of this research should be a high priority for
improving the energy water utilization, and recycling, and waste
management capacity of urban domestic systems. The “relevance” of space
derived technologies is most critical in improving the ability of
the human population “to live downwind and downstream of itself” on
Earth.
Approaches to both protect and preserve the
natural environment by engineering improved agricultural and “urban
systems cannot be ignored or out of the mainstream missions of the
Department of Agriculture or of Housing and Urban Development.
The
relationships between “space and the environment” must also be a
component of the educational and public missions of Department of
Agriculture, and NOAA, and the Department of the Interior and HUD.
These must not be the diminished priorities of NASA butthe high
priorities of all these Departments.
Section III: Preparing for the Human Advance Beyond LEO
Reappraising The Constellation ProgramNASA
was charged in the President's VSE with creating a new system based on
shuttle heritage technology and existing infrastructure assets but has
managed to ignore this direction, overprice, and under perform this
task and in the process created a gap in US manned access to
space. Pouring yet more money into what would create another
monopolistic, limi and overly expensive system also stunts the
promising development of new commercial providers.
NASA's
Constellation Program should be reviewed because the constellation
architecture also continues to saddle the US with a low flight
frequency high cost structure. Rather than retreat with few lessons
learned from the existing STS architecture we should demand an
architecture that does deliver a high flight rate, lower cost, greater
safety and essential re usability. The Space Frontier Foundation's
report “Unfordable and Unsustainable” has provided a detailed
critique of the ESAS architecture and this writer would refer the
interested reader to this resource for a more detailed critique of the
ESAS history. The historic chance to create an improved
next generation transportation system is being squandered.
Federal
Funds should rather be used to support new initiatives and new
employment for the next generation of American engineers and space
scientists rather than propping up the old systems and a highly flawed
Constellation program.
a. Clean Boosters
The ARES I and ARES
V rockets will use solid rocket boosters that perpetuate the use of
heavily polluting fuels. These old boosters should be replaced by newly
designed reusable LOX/Hydrogen fueled boosters that are consistent with
protecting the atmosphere and whose use can be defended in a high
flight rate mode. New clean boosters are needed improve
heavy lift capacity of existing launch systems.
b. Competitive Frequent Manned Access to LEO
The
Ares I will likely come on line 2-4 years behind the Falcon 9 manned
system. It will also face likely competition from vehicles from China,
India, and Russian concurrent with its introduction. Within 5 to 8
years of the Ares I debut, Japan and ESA should also produce manned
vehicles based on the foundations of existing launch and cargo delivery
systems. Ares I must be assessed in terms of its competitiveness with
other systems in development and its cost effectiveness.
c. HLLV Development.
Even
the “Gold Cadillac” STS Shuttle program, which failed to meet its
promised cost, flight rate, or flight safety goals was designed as a
reusable space transportation infrastructure. The Shuttle has been
characterized as too expensive at $ 500 million per launch and too
infrequent at a rate of 6 to 8 launches per year. The
Constellation lunar program envisioned would typically launch two
manned missions per year and one unmanned mission and cost $ 2
Billion per mission.
The heavy lift Falcon 9 vehicle is
projected to cost $ 78 million dollars per launch as an mostly
expendable launch system. We must ask if the Constellation
architecture using a combined Ares I & V launch could accomplish as
much as twenty five Falcon 9 launches sending people and equipment to
the Moon.
d. Manned VehiclesSome
aspects of the Constellation program already funded and advanced in
development should be completed ed such as the work on the CEV
and the Altair vehicles.
Plans for an Altair ascent vehicle
which preclude refueling with Hydrogen/Lox (and future lunar in situ
produced fuels) demonstrate a short sighted vision dead end
design. This design would makes future evolution more
difficult. A reusable refueled LOX/Hydrogen Altair should be
capable of many trips between LLO and the surface as has been suggested
in the NASA/ESA comparative architecture study . It should also be
designed to make multiple sorties to the entire lunar globe a key
design objective enabling science and exploration objectives.
e. Planning for Mars The
Ares V vehicle design is one that is justified as meeting both lunar
return requirements as well as future humans to Mars requirements. This
later point sounds like a justification of prudent foresight that
will prevent the need for another expensive and protracted super
heavy lift vehicle development effort in twenty years. Yet it shackles
our efforts over the next thirty years to a high cost and low flight
frequency system.
An argument for the Ares V model
presumes that what might make sense now will make sense twenty five to
thirty years from now. An Ares V approach to Mars exploration may well
be as “quaint” in another 35 years as a Jules Verne model of lunar
exploration looks now. The global growth of space capabilities, and
technologies, and the expansion of the Earth/Moon econosphere to more
than a $100 Trillion may more reliably solve the needs of Mars
exploration than a “back to the future” Ares V.
A “New Constellation” of Approachesf. A Collaborative “open architecture” transportation system. It
is more likely that the ability to create “modular lunar stacks”
involving common interfaces will permit frequent multi-national
collaboration in creating supply chains in cislunar space. We
must be able to put together systems that are multi-modal. A
transportation system that can meet many purposes, servicing many
locations is the principal goal. We must think about a serving a
multiplicity of locations including LEO, GEO, L-1, lunar, and Mars
missions .
g. Gas TanksTanks
for “expendable” orbital systems should be routinely “retired to orbit”
so that they become reusable in orbit as part of constructing a
refueling architecture. This transportation system “building” must be
part of a global cooperative effort so that the transportation system
created provides a leveraging of international space assets.
h. COTSWhile
the COTS initiative of the Griffin/Bush era must be applauded it
amounts to not even 1 shuttle launch equivalent of NASA's funds.
A strategic budget commitment to commercial space development
should further accelerate commercial providers which can deliver
high flight rate, lower cost, reusable, and safe man rated heavy
lift transportation systems.
The award of a ISS supply contracts
by NASA to Space X is applauded as a follow on to the development of
new launcher systems under COTS and a demonstration to NASA's critics
the the COTS initiative is a viable shift in NASA's historical monopoly
of operations. The award of contracts to Roscosmos for manned access to
ISS during the gap is also part of what should be a new “purchase”
market paradigm which supports several competitive providers.
Orbital Sciences COTS system should also have a contract award.
B. An Expanded Partnership Abroad1. The US should make an international Moon Program a key space priority.
It's messages to other nations should be “Let's Go to the Moon Together”
The
US is the preeminent space power in the world. NASA's budget alone is
more than the combined total of the rest of the world's civilian space
program. Yet other nations of the world are expanding the resources
devoted to space programs, accelerating their efforts, and emerging as
competitors. The Bush administration's VSE and its renewed emphasis on
a human return to the Moon has been met by many responses and
that is not an inconsiderable measure of its success.
The
declarations of China, and Russia, that they too will place humans on
the Moon are indications of strong international competition . The
Japanese have also indicated that theyplan to place humans on the Moon
in a cooperative international effort. The European Space Agency is
also moving in this directions with plans for a lunar cargo lander and
a European capacity to send humans into orbit. The Indian Space
Research Organization has signed a 10 year agreement with Russians on
lunar mission development and cooperation. It also is committed to an
independent manned orbital capacity and new heavy lift launchers.
Because
of this historic “lunar alignment” of the major space faring powers a
constructive initiative on the part of the US to share both the costs,
risks, and benefits of space development with other nations must
be advanced. An international lunar program should also be balanced
with other cooperative international efforts.
In reality
this is one area where NASA has been effective but little noticed
during the Bush/Griffin years as measured by the” Global
Exploration Agreement, The ILN network, and The work of the
Working Groups on Mars, ILEWG, OSEWG .
This sound
foundation must be expanded and is the basis for future cooperation
such as the comparative NASA/ESA architecture studies completed
in 2008 and those anticipated with other space faring nations such as
ISRO are completed in 2009.
Lets Build on a Two Generations of Peaceful International Cooperation:- Apollo: We Come in Peace for All Mankind (1969)
- Apollo -Soyuz – A Peaceful Cooperative Gesture in the midst of a “Cold War.” (1975)
- International Lunar Exploration working Group (1994)
- International Space Station (1999)
- Global Space Exploration Agreement 2007
- International Lunar Network Agreement 2008
- OSEWG (2008)
- and a variety of International Working Groups such as ILEWG, MWG
To
the extant that international cooperation will permit, a Moon
then Mars program commitment should be sought with common/
shared standards of architecture like refueling capacity and
supporting systems, common docking and rescue, and communication and
telerobotic operations standards, mapping, and provision for use of in
situ resources. Where competition and duplicative efforts prevail
even these can be hopefully be used in a collaborative manner toward
the commonly held goals of lunar exploration, human settlement, and
commercial development, and to create “fail safe”
capacities.
First, An “Inflationary” Moon BaseA
human return to the Moon should be a cooperative effort to develop an
international “inflationary lunar base” advancing a global exploration
program serving the goals of scientific understanding and also
advancing the use and commercial development of Earth's “Eight
Continent”. The goal of creating a lunar outpost should not be an
anemic limited “science only” colony but one that is designed for rapid
expansion, commercialized, and replication. The Moon is not a side show
on the way to Mars but an anchor tenancy in cislunar space. The
exploration and utilization of the Moon will enable the construction of
an Earth Moon economy that rescues human society from the constraints
of the Earth's environmental system.
Then Mars2.The
future objective of the human exploration and settlement of Mars should
be advanced by what is learned from the push to the Moon. A continued
international robotic preparation for this great advance must
parallel the efforts to create a lunar beachhead.
Mars
is a challenge that deserves a different approach than the footprints
and flags model of Apollo. Apollo was unsustainable and cost two
generations delay in follow-up. Mars demands a sustained effort and a
global partnership. The prize to be won at Mars is a third planet but
this will be “reeled” in by patient collaborative work. The
analogy of the careful build up and planning for the Normandy invasion
is to my mind a better analogy for Mars than the flashy “lunar dashes”
of Apollo.
A “Larger LEO”3.
The US should continue its commitment to the ISS but expand this
partnership to include both the Chinese National Space Agency and the
Indian Space research Organization and other nations as they develop
space faring capabilities. Studies of its useful life
extension must also be undertaken in support of the invitation for
broader participation.
Security in/from Space
4.
The US should work to create an international regime space faring
nations that guarantees access to space to all nations that pursue a
peaceful use of space but a denial of access to nations that attempt to
militarize space. This extends the tradition of “the freedom of the
seas” and addresses the national security needs of all peaceful space
faring nations. It would also address issues such as “international
technical means” to re mediate space debris and the attempt of any
nation to deny space access and space operational capabilities by
generating space debris or other offensive efforts.
A system
of sanctions to reinforce such guarantees should also be developed to
prevent and deter space terror tactics. This space access issue was
high lighted by the former President of India Dr. Abdul Kalam during
his term of office and is of strategic importance for all of the
current space faring powers.
This objective can prevent a
militarization of space and sends a clear message to nations developing
both missile and nuclear technology that a peaceful global norm for
space operations has been established by all major space faring
nations. Both the national security of the United States and the
creation and enforcement of recognized international norms are
appropriate roles for the US space agencies and organizations involved
in national security.
Beachheads in GEO5.
An international project to develop a prototype a next generation GEO
platform should be initiated. The finite and limited number of GEO
orbital slots demands that a more capable platforms be created to meet
the inevitable demands of the 21s century for communications and
precision Earth observation services. This initiative should involve
both the government space agencies as well as commercial partnerships.
Future global demand will mean that many such platforms will be needed
in what can emerge as a major expansion of commercial space activities,
revenues, and capital investment.
Space Based Energy Supply6.
An international initiative to develop prototype clean space
solar power technologies should be started. A path to
developing a clean global solar power supply must offer both hope and
an opportunity for participation by not only the developed and space
faring nations but include the energy needs of the emerging economies.
A SBSP road map might include several steps.
First, the ISS
could be a starting testbed for some aspects of this project.
Other aspects of this project might be part of a GEO platform project
as a significant second step. Yet other aspects of this might include a
third stage free flying independent platform. and the test of
designated ground based rectennas as reserved test beds area in a
variety of partner countries.
A Collaborative “open architecture” transportation system.7.An
international space transportation infrastructure should be developed
so that the above initiatives are both technically and financial
viable. Investments must be made in high flight rate and low cost
launcher systems and refueling capabilities. This last goal will
do more than anything else to encourage private investments in new
commercial nodes of growth ranging from private research facilities,
space tourism, space manufacturing. Traditional commercial space
activities in the profitable, broadcast, broadband, navigation and
positioning, and telecommunications, and Earth observations markets can
also expect strong growth.
The Earth First8.
NOAA should pursue its Mission for planet Earth with its system of
systems partnership with other nations so that the capacity to
understand and monitors, and protect the Earth's unique
environment is enhanced by the efforts of the international space
community. It should also have a strong educational initiative with
other Departments such as Agriculture, Interior, and Housing and Urban
Development, and Education where the connections between space
and the environments must be understood by both the next generation and
the public at large.
The collapse of the Earth's climate and
environmental systems by the “mindless expansion” of the human economy
must be stopped. We must vigorously pursue a mindful expansion of human
society while we protect, preserve, and restore the beautiful Earth
with equal vigor with the resources that space development can
bring. This is our species survival test. This test demands an
intelligence and self transforming discipline no less than many others
homo sapiens has faced in its history.
A Commercial Space Culture
9.
Commercial activities in space should be encouraged and supported with
efforts to expand communications, begin space manufacturing, construct
large structures, supporting research and development activities,
supply “space port services”, and enable privately funded human space
flight.
Going for the GAS10.
Delivery of main tanks to LEO and the creation of a refueling
infrastructure in orbit must be mandated for the US launchers and
hopefully coordinated with other nations so that a robust commercially
open, and international transportation infrastructure is created
on the way to GEO, the Moon, Mars, and the rest of the solar system.
New space faring members can expand the market for these services
as they develop the financial resources and the technologies to
support space operations.
New Agreements11.
The Uited Nations ineffective Moon Treaty should be rescinded as
it is not accepted by most of the major space faring powers. New
protocols among the major space faring powers for utilization of the
lunar surface should be structured with a more pragmatic model of
“inclusion by participation” and the understanding that open
international access to lunar derived resources will provided through
commercial development rather than by claims of national dominance.
Conclusions for Generation 3.0 US Space Policies The
current global economic contraction may require cooperative programs of
economic stimulus. Cooperative space policy is an area where mutual
benefits can be established. The potential for both investment paybacks
and economic growth from the US space program are areas where the Obama
administration can deliver important national and international
leadership. While the domestic recommendations above shift many of
NASA's competing responsibilities to other departments, this set of
recommendations recognizes and reinforces that NASA's primary mission
is in pioneering technology, and the scientific and manned exploration
of the solar system.
NASA is one of many agencies of the US
government that uses space transportation assets but its special
mission should be to test the untried and seek the unknown. The
Department of Transportation among others should have broad
responsibilities for Low earth orbit operations, space based
communications, transportation systems development, construction, and
commercial operations. Other Departments have 21st Century
technology and responsibilities. The Department of Energy must advance
the promise of global clean energy supplies from space which provide
the only adequate answer to both the Earth's demand for
additional clean energy and growth. NOAA must be the agency with
both the mission and the means to monitor the Earth's damaged
environment.
Our US leadership in space should be a
special strength of our foreign policy. and a way of building
both bridges and peaceful economic relationships with the community of
nations as an Earth-Moon economy is created beyond LEO, in GEO and
beyond in L-1, LLO, and the Lunar surface. The exploration, settlement
and economic development of the Moon, and then the human exploration of
Mars must advance as shared national and international objectives. The
inclusion of planetary protection, global communications and commerce
from GEO, and new global infrastructures in education and health are
the foundation planks of a expanded, Earth/Moon ionosphere
benefiting all countries.
C onclusions for Generation 3.0 US Space Policies The
current global economic contraction may require cooperative programs of
economic stimulus. Cooperative space policy is an area where mutual
benefits can be established. The potential for both investment paybacks
and economic growth from the US space program are areas where the Obama
administration can deliver important national and international
leadership. While the domestic recommendations above shift many of
NASA's competing responsibilities to other departments, this set of
recommendations recognizes and reinforces that NASA's primary mission
is in pioneering technology, and the scientific and manned exploration
of the solar system.
NASA is one of many agencies of the US
government that uses space transportation assets but its special
mission should be to test the untried and seek the unknown. The
Department of Transportation among others should have broad
responsibilities for Low earth orbit operations, space based
communications, transportation systems development, construction, and
commercial operations. Other Departments have 21st Century
technology and responsibilities. The Department of Energy must advance
the promise of global clean energy supplies from space which provide
the only adequate answer to both the Earth's demand for
additional clean energy and growth. NOAA must be the agency with
both the mission and the means to monitor the Earth's damaged
environment.
Our US leadership in space should be a
special strength of our foreign policy. and a way of building
both bridges and peaceful economic relationships with the community of
nations as an Earth-Moon economy is created beyond LEO, in GEO and
beyond in L-1, LLO, and the Lunar surface. The exploration, settlement
and economic development of the Moon, and then the human exploration of
Mars must advance as shared national and international objectives. The
inclusion of planetary protection, global communications and commerce
from GEO, and new global infrastructures in education and health are
the foundation planks of a expanded, Earth/Moon ionosphere
benefiting all countries.
Conclusions for Generation 3.0 US Space Policies The
current global economic contraction may require cooperative programs of
economic stimulus. Cooperative space policy is an area where mutual
benefits can be established. The potential for both investment paybacks
and economic growth from the US space program are areas where the Obama
administration can deliver important national and international
leadership. While the domestic recommendations above shift many of
NASA's competing responsibilities to other departments, this set of
recommendations recognizes and reinforces that NASA's primary mission
is in pioneering technology, and the scientific and manned exploration
of the solar system.
NASA is one of many agencies of the US
government that uses space transportation assets but its special
mission should be to test the untried and seek the unknown. The
Department of Transportation among others should have broad
responsibilities for Low earth orbit operations, space based
communications, transportation systems development, construction, and
commercial operations. Other Departments have 21st Century
technology and responsibilities. The Department of Energy must advance
the promise of global clean energy supplies from space which provide
the only adequate answer to both the Earth's demand for
additional clean energy and growth. NOAA must be the agency with
both the mission and the means to monitor the Earth's damaged
environment.
Our US leadership in space should be a
special strength of our foreign policy. and a way of building
both bridges and peaceful economic relationships with the community of
nations as an Earth-Moon economy is created beyond LEO, in GEO and
beyond in L-1, LLO, and the Lunar surface. The exploration, settlement
and economic development of the Moon, and then the human exploration of
Mars must advance as shared national and international objectives. The
inclusion of planetary protection, global communications and commerce
from GEO, and new global infrastructures in education and health are
the foundation planks of a expanded, Earth/Moon ionosphere
benefiting all countries.
finis